[It’s the second piece I wrote for my Chinese politics class, discussing the CCP’s strategies in quelling the unrest in HK. ]
In Fall 2014, Hong Kong, whose democracy was once hailed as the model for Asian countries, made headlines when massive civil disobedience movement broke out. Coming to be known as the “Occupy Central with Peace and Love” and later the Umbrella Movement, the protests took place largely in response to the mainland Chinese government’s decision to meddle in Hong Kong’s electoral reform and to protect universal suffrage. After three months, the crowd dispersed in December 2014.
This response paper seeks to briefly categorize China’s strategies in dealing with the “Occupy Central” movement, as a response to the lecture topic “Manage Contestation from Below”, and at the same time append a very brief discussion of their effectiveness.
The topic is particularly of interest as we’ve covered the 1989 Tiananmen Protest in lecture as well, and it’s fascinating to learn how much the CCP has learnt its lesson and how well it responds to a domestic crisis in this day and age. On a larger scale, the CCP’s strategies might be especially enlightening for other authoritarian countries seeking to quell local unrest. In detailing CCP’s strategies (or the change thereof), we might be able to glean insights on the CCP’s evolving understanding of the Chinese/HK society and perhaps derive knowledge about CCP’s ruling philosophy – or Xi’s governing ideology.
I have concluded 6 tactics used by the CCP from the press coverage, with the last one deduced from words on the street. And perhaps unsurprisingly, they all center around one core strategy.
First and foremost, the CCP internally made its stance unequivocally clear very early on. Based on Reuters and several other sources, the National People’s Congress Security Commission (NPCSC) chaired by Xi Jinping decided not to give any concessions in early October, thus clarifying any lingering doubts inside the party and preventing any serious miscommunications from happening.
Secondly, the CCP opted for close collaborations with the Hong Kong authority, instead of taking the driver’s seat. According to The New York Times China correspondents, during the peak of the movement, mainland officials met Hong Kong officials in charge of dealing with the protest daily in a neighboring City, Shenzhen, in a resort owned by the central government liaison office. Information could flow unhindered between the two sides in real time, which in turned ensured effective communications and the successful execution of CCP’s strategies.
Moreover, perhaps as expected, CCP almost immediately started online censorship – their usual tactic -when the first sign of trouble started to surface. At the onset of the protest, China’s censorship organ told online and offline media that “All websites must immediately clear away information about Hong Kong students violently assaulting the government and about ‘Occupy Central.’ Promptly report any issues. Strictly manage interactive channels, and resolutely delete harmful information. This [directive] must be followed precisely.”[1] Most Chinese websites didn’t run stories at all in the first place; and for those few who did, the stories usually focused on the negative side of the movement. BBC was blocked after one video showing violence used by police on a protestor went viral online; CNN’s service was also disrupted. At the same time, keywords such as “Hong Kong”, “barricades”, “Occupy Central” and “umbrella” raised red flags during search or on social media, which generally prompted administrators to delete them shortly. This tactic has time and again proven effective as most Chinese readers rely on mainstream media for daily news; once the event is censored, there is hardly any easily accessible channel for an average Chinese netizens to acquire latest information, let along laymen on the street who may or may not read newspapers.
Relating to the abovementioned point, we see that the CCP has utilized propaganda to make favorable pronouncements and portray the Occupy Movement in a negative, disruptive tone. Perhaps knowing it was impossible for people not to notice such a large-scale movement and casting itself in a good light, the CCP consciously asked mainland media to report the movement as causing a lot of financial loss and inconvenience in the city, while suppressing any ideological or political significance of the movement. It has also actively sought verbal and written endorsement and support from the elite class, including the richest people and the opposition camp, to show that the CCP’s position and plan were legitimate.
Another tried-and-true tactic used by China here is its allegation of foreign intervention. It never fails to point the finger at the so-called hostile foreign powers so as to shift people’s attention away from the true root cause of the event. For instance, the first Chinese official to address Hong Kong about NPCSC’s decision, Li Fei, accused protestors of being tools used by Western hostile powers, which were trying to undermine the authority of the CCP[2]. The People’s Daily linked the movement to Taiwan’s Sunflower Student Movement and accused the Occupy Central protestors of seeking support from both the United Kingdom and the United States[3]. By doing this, the CCP sought to undermine the legitimacy and the appeal of the movement, and to provoke patriotism to fight this movement.
In addition, CCP was accused of supporting the opposition camp substantially, such as helping it organize opposition rallies, gather petitions against Occupy Central and put pressure on business tycoons to pick a side. Rumors also suggested the alleged push behind the mobilized triads and gangsters: local gangsters were involved in the protest and clashed with protestors, and they might be receiving help or hint from the Chinese government.
Yet these tactics do not come out haphazardly without some internal linking. In fact, they all fall neatly under one bigger, umbrella strategy that was effectively deployed by the Chinese government: the attrition strategy. It was very clear that the government has been very patient and refrained repeatedly from directly intervening[4], but opted for a behind-the-scene role, from the very beginning. The CCP has clearly internalized its lesson from Tiananmen, where it learnt that open confrontation and bloody conflicts would only make it an easy target for freedom fighters and get crucified in the international arena; it also learnt the weakness of a student movement: give it some time and internal cracks will appear. But by deliberately delaying response and taking a more subtle line, it could avoid escalating the situation and colliding head-on with the protesting students, while shifting blame to the HK authorities when necessary. What’s more, under this strategy, China has clearly seen and subsequently tried to utilize the internal crack among the protestors – it astutely realized that students, intellectuals, ordinary citizens are not one single entity, but different groups with slightly different priorities and sometimes competing interests. It also used the dissatisfaction on the ground, to win some people over – so that it didn’t appear to be the CCP vs. Hong Kong, but rather an internal debate among Hong Kongers; minimize the drama and headlines, so as to create opportunity to wait for the protestors to wear out and get tired and kick each other out. It is thus Beijing’s calculations to cool down the controversy through time and let internal differences develop, which eventually would kill the protest’s momentum and legitimacy, given the huge cost to the economy[5].
In conclusion, we see that China has taken a relatively less violent path this time and it has clearly worked, since there were no international sanctions, no blood, nor was there any concession made. Given the apparent effectiveness of such attrition strategy, it wouldn’t surprise me if other authoritarian countries decide to follow China’s course. Yet we have to realize the unique condition here that makes this strategy so effective: Hong Kong is tiny and relatively insulated from the rest of China, hence the movement couldn’t really snowball into a much bigger one. Also the protestors set out to be non-violent, hence the potential risk for the government is small and the economic cost made the use of attrition strategy obvious.
As an endnote, there are multiple directions this response paper can take:
- Now having understood the CCP’s strategies better, we can perhaps ask what could the students and the Scholarism do to combat CCP’s strategy and to win concessions? Or should they not launch the civil disobedience movement at all?
- New Angle: compare student movements and investigate the cause of their failures. Put Occupy Central and Tiananmen in juxtapose, discuss the inherent difficulties and then propose ways to overcome it. Or discuss the differences they have, and how they lead to different responses from the government and how that affects their eventual success/failure.
- Would the movement be better if it’s restricted to just students? Not involving general public, and limited to just one or two strongholds?
Reference:
Lee, Raymond. “Al Jazeera Center for Studies – Reports – Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement.” Hong Kong’s Umbrella Movement. Al Jazeera Center for Studies – Reports, 11 Nov. 2014. Web. 07 Apr. 2015.
Acknowledgement:
The author would like to express his gratitude to Mary Hui ’17, whose brilliant writing and insights on the 2014 Hong Kong Protests have helped the author greatly when formulating a response.
[1] Paul Carsten (29 September 2014). “China censors try to blunt Hong Kong protests, don’t always succeed”. Reuters. Retrieved 7 April 2015. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/09/29/us-hongkong-china-internet-idUSKCN0HO1KV20140929
[2] Buckley, Chris & Forsythe, Michael (31 August 2014). “China Restricts Voting Reforms for Hong Kong”. The New York Times. Archived from the original on 7 April 2015.
[3] 香港佔中 中國怪罪台灣太陽花學運 [China blames Sunflower Student Movement for Occupy Central]. Liberty Times (in Chinese). 30 September 2014. Retrieved 7 April 2015.
[4] Josh Noble and Julie Zhu, “Hong Kong ‘lucky’ China Has not Stopped Protests, Says CY Leung”, The Financial Times, 2014-10-20. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3f6f1c74-584b-11e4-a31b-00144feab7de.html#axzz3H5KRCO9W Last accessed on 7 April 2015
[5] http://studies.aljazeera.net/en/reports/2014/11/201411119524559672.htm, last accessed on 7 April 2015.